Current Model
Project 80 Edge v7.1.
The current model is built to prevent dumb action first, then identify clean, executable edges.
Validated rules
✓
Favorite Tax
Do not pay expensive favorite prices without clear edge above break-even.
✓
Too Hard Final Gate
Downgrade when uncertainty is too high or best expression is unclear.
✓
Five-Engine Price Check
No official play until a book confirms the model limit.
✓
O/U Number + Juice
Every total includes the run number and acceptable price.
Provisional rules under review
Value Side ConfirmationF5 Starter ConfirmationTeam Total ConfirmationLow-Margin Favorite RulePrice Gate Saved/Cost Tracking
Current watch: Official-play selection and best-expression accuracy remain the biggest gaps to 80%.
Required output standard.
| Market | Required format | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Read + side + price limit + confirmed price | Playable Mets ML at -120 or better; best confirmed -112. |
| F5 | Read + limit + bullpen implication | Playable Rangers F5 at -125 or better — isolates deGrom edge before bullpen variance. |
| O/U | Direction + number + juice + status | Playable Under 8 at -115 or better; best confirmed Under 8 -105. |
| Too Hard | Reason required | Too Hard — starter signals conflict and best expression is unclear. |