Monopolybuilder presents

Not more picks. Better decisions.

Project 80 Edge is a Munger/Buffett-inspired sports evaluation lab built to help serious sports thinkers separate real edge from bad action.

We evaluate MLB markets across moneyline, F5, totals, team totals, and run lines — then force every idea through price discipline, Too Hard, and a five-engine market check before it becomes official.

Project motto: No. No. No. Maybe. Yes, but only at this price.

The value proposition

A complementary evaluation layer for the sports market ecosystem.

Picks communities can surface ideas. Odds tools can reveal prices. Sharp rooms can create signals. Data models can create projections. Project 80 Edge helps decide what deserves action.

01

Decision quality

We grade whether the evaluation was disciplined, not only whether the outcome won.

02

Market respect

A good idea at a bad price is not a play. The market must confirm our limit.

03

Munger temperament

Invert the read, avoid false precision, protect against action creep, and respect the Too Hard pile.

The Project 80 flow

From matchup opinion to executable decision.

Every slate moves through the same operating system: model read, Munger Check, Too Hard gate, bet-type routing, five-engine pricing, then the official playable list.

Target: Build toward 80% evaluation accuracy first, then 90%. Not 80% betting win rate — 80% decision-quality accuracy.

What we classify

PlayableLeanTrackPassAvoidToo HardNo DataLimit Failed
Execution discipline

The five-engine price check.

A model play is not official until one approved pricing engine confirms our limit. We check DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365, with a market-auditor screen for comparison.

StatusMeaningAction
Consensus ConfirmedTwo or more books meet the limit.Official if still available.
One-Book EdgeOnly one book meets the limit.Playable only at that book; verify manually.
Limit FailedThe model liked it, but the market does not offer our number.Track only.
Stale ConflictBooks/screens disagree materially.Manual confirm or no play.

Founding Builder invitation

Join the Evaluation Room for daily cards, AM reports, validation reviews, and model-lab discussions built around disciplined decisions — not hype.

Become a Founding Builder